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GeoAI: key developments & insights

It’s been a while since my post on geo and the AI hype in 2019. Back then, I didn’t use the term “GeoAI”, even though it has certainly been around for a while (including, e.g., with dedicated SIGSPATIAL workshops since 2017).

GeoAI isn’t one single thing. It’s an umbrella term, including: “AI for Geo” (using AI methods in Geo, e.g. deep learning for object recognition in remote sensing images) and “Geo for AI” (integrating geographic concepts into AI models, e.g. by building spatially explicit models). [Zhang 2020] [Li et al. 2024]

Today’s post is a collection of key GeoAI developments I’m aware of. If I missed anything you are excited about, please let me know here in the comments or over on Mastodon.

Background

A week ago, I had the pleasure to attend a “Specialist Meeting” on GeoAI here in Vienna, meeting over 40 researchers from around the world, from Master students to professor emeritus. Huge props to Jano (Prof. Krzysztof Janowicz) and his team at Uni Wien for bringing this awesome group of people together.

The elephant in the room: LLMs

Unsurprisingly, LLMs and the claims they make about geography are a mayor issue due to the mistakes they make and the biases behind them. An infamous example is AI’s issue with understanding topology:

Image source: Janowicz, K. (2023). Philosophical Foundations of GeoAI: Exploring Sustainability, Diversity, and Bias in GeoAI and Spatial Data Science. arXiv e-prints, arXiv-2304.

Even if recent versions of ChatGPT (such as GTP 4o) do a better job with this specific example, this doesn’t make their answers reliable. So between the trustworthiness, reproducibility, explainability, and sustainability issues … LLMs have a long way to go. And it’s not clear whether they are going in the right direction right now.

Geospatial foundation models

Prithvi, a model developed by NASA, IBM, et al. in 2023, is one of the first geospatial foundation models. Like much of GeoAI, Prithvi deals with remote sensing data. Specifically, it is trained on Landsat and Sentinel-2 (HLS) imagery, with applications in flood mapping and wildfire prediction. And maybe best of all: the model is open-source and publicly available.

Spatiotemporal machine learning model specifications

In the general AI community, model cards have become a common way to share information about models. However, identifying the right model for spatiotemporal tasks is hard since there are no standardized descriptions in existing model catalogs (e.g. Hugging Face, DLHub or MLFlow). To address this issue, [Charette-Migneault et al. 2024] have proposed the Machine Learning Model (MLM) extension for the SpatioTemporal Asset Catalogs (STAC). But, yet again, this development is targeting models trained with remote sensing imagery.

Similarly, the OGC Training Data Markup Language for Artificial Intelligence (TrainingDML-AI) and its ISO equivalent are limited to EO as well …

Spatial knowledge graphs

For those among us working mostly with vector data, the KnowWhereGraph is an interesting development. It’s the first geo-enriched knowledge graph [Janowicz et al. 2022] that helps answer geospatial questions by integrating a variety of spatial datasets through hierarchical grids, standard region boundaries and appropriate ontology and knowledge graph schema development. However, so far, the KnowWhereGraph is mostly limited to the United States.

Explainable AI (XAI) and geo

While answers from knowledge graphs are intrinsically explainable, many other (Geo)AI solutions are built on AI approaches that result in black box models.

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have become very popular in GeoAI (including in urban analytics and mobility [Jalali et al. 2023] [Liu et al. 2024]) but their black box nature limits their practical usefulness in domains where transparency and trustworthiness are crucial. To offer insights into how model predictions are made, [Liu et al. 2024] propose a spatially explicit GeoAI-based method that combines a graph convolutional network and a graph-based XAI method, called GNNExplainer to explore the correlation between urban objects.

Reproducibility et al.

The AI hype in geo is still going strong. Journals are being flooded with paper submissions and good reviewers are hard to come by. In many geo-related venues, it is still acceptable to present an AI paper without making code or model available. (We recently discussed this issue for mobility AI specifically [Graser et al. 2024].)

I’m convinced we can and should do better: quality over quantity, moving steadily, building and fixing things.

References

ChatGPT Data Analyst vs movement data

Today, I took ChatGPT’s Data Analyst for a spin. You’ve probably seen the fancy advertising videos: just drop in a dataset and AI does all the analysis for you?! Let’s see …

Of course, I’m not going to use some lame movie database or flower petals data. Instead, let’s go all in and test with a movement dataset.

You don’t get a second chance to make a first impression, they say. — Well, Data Analyst, you didn’t impress on the first try. How hard can it be to guess the delimiter and act accordingly?

Anyway, let’s help it a little:

That looks much better. It makes an effort to guess what the columns could mean and successfully identifies the spatiotemporal information.

Now for some spatial analysis. On first try, it didn’t want to calculate the length of the trajectories in geographic terms, but we can make it to:

It will also show the code used to get to the results:

And indeed, these are close enough to the results computed using MovingPandas:

“What about plots?” I hear you ask.

For a first try, not bad at all:

Let’s see if we can push it further:

Looks like poor Data Analyst ended up in geospatial library dependency hell 😈

It’s interesting to watch it try find a solution.

Alas, no background map appears:

Not giving up yet :)

Woah, what happened here? It claims it created an interactive map in an HTML file.

And indeed it did:

This has been a very interesting experiment for me with many highs and lows. The whole process is a bit hit and miss. But when it does work, it’s fun.

I wasn’t sure what to expect with regards to Data Analyst’s spatial data processing capabilities. Looks like there are enough examples in its training data to find solutions for the basic trajectory analysis problems I asked it solve today, eventually, at least.

What’s the conclusion? Most AI marketing videos are severely overselling the capabilities of these tools. However, that doesn’t mean that they are completely useless, either. I’m looking forward to seeing the age of smaller open source models specifically trained for geospatial analysis to finally make it unnecessary for humans to memorize data analysis library syntax.

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